Lubbock, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

456
FXUS64 KLUB 100538
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1238 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1233 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

 - Thunderstorms are possible across the entire area today through
   Tuesday, mainly in the evenings.

 - Cooler temperatures Monday through Wednesday, with near-average
   highs returning thereafter.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Overnight will generally see a repeat of the previous two nights
with mostly cloudy skies and SW winds of 10-15 mph keeping lows mild
ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s. Hot and dry conditions are
expected through this afternoon. Although with a moderately
potent mid-level trough approaching this evening breaking down the
upper ridge stalled over the Desert Southwest for the past
several days, highs will top out a few degrees lower than
yesterday. This trough and its associated cold front will begin to
track from northwest to southeast across the area through the
overnight hours and bring chances of showers and thunderstorms.
Highest chances will occur over the far SW Panhandle and northern
South Plains. Given the monsoonal component to the moisture and
subsequent higher PWATs near 1.5 inches, some of the storms may
produce locally heavy rain/flooding as well as strong winds. These
should diminish in coverage and intensity by sunrise Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Temperatures Monday will be much cooler post-frontal in a light
southeasterly surface flow. Highs will be around 10 degrees cooler
than today. This upslope flow will combine with an upper trough and
lead to the development of more pop-up showers and thunderstorms
over the entire area rather than the NW-SE moving ones along the
front as with the previous night. Widespread severe weather is not
expected, however storms will be relatively slow moving, so
localized heavy rain/flooding remains a threat along with strong
winds. These will gradually diminish into Tuesday morning. Daytime
highs Tuesday will be similar to that of Monday with light SE winds.
While moisture remains present over the area during the evening, the
forcing components lacking any notable upper waves or shear will
inhibit any widespread storm development, with only slight chance
PoPs retained in the latest forecast. An upper ridge will build
starting Wednesday, however it will not be as strong as the recent
ridge over the Desert Southwest and high temperatures will be closer
to seasonal averages generally in the mid 90s. A series of
shortwaves Friday and Saturday may lead to some additional shower
and thunderstorm chances for northwestern portions of the area, but
much of the region should remain dry beyond mid-week.
&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. However,
isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are expected late
Sunday afternoon into the evening. This activity will have the
potential to affect the terminals especially KLBB and KPVW. At the
moment, coverage is too uncertain to mention in the TAF.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...01