Lubbock, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

006
FXUS64 KLUB 141114
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
514 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 453 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

 - Showers and thunderstorms continue through early Saturday
   morning.

 - Warm, dry, and breezy conditions will lead to elevated fire
   weather concerns next week, with Tuesday seeing the most
   favorable conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 1028 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

Showers and thunderstorms are currently tracking west to east off
the Caprock ahead of an upper level trough. Moisture parameters
remain elevated with dewpoints in the 50s and PWATs exceeding one
inch. Nonetheless, the lack of much dry air mixing in and elevated
winds aloft eroding the CAPE should inhibit any severe potential.
That said, a few storms may produce gusty winds, periods of heavy
rain, and small hail. Highest rainfall totals remain expected off
the Caprock with 0.5 to 1 inches seeming most reasonable, with
locally higher amounts possible where stronger storms occur. As the
low begins to occlude over the Oklahoma Panhandle, the dry slot will
build over our area and any remaining precipitation off the Caprock
should end in the 6-9 AM time frame. Breezy west winds will develop
in the wake of the low. These will turn northerly into the evening
before diminishing overnight. Skies should generally clear through
the day and combined with the downsloping winds, will allow for well-
above average high temperatures ranging generally from the mid 60s
to low 70s. Scattered showers are expected to develop on the
backside of the aforementioned low Saturday afternoon/evening,
mainly off the Caprock, however should be relatively fast-moving and
not amount to much.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1028 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026

Light northerly winds will turn south through the day Sunday and a
pleasant day is expected with sunny skies and highs near 70.
Increased southwesterly flow Monday will allow for even warmer
temperatures in the upper 70s. A broad upper trough digging into the
Mountain West will lead to lee cyclogenesis in the Rockies.
Although the center of the low will be well to the north over
western Nebraska, we will still see breezy westerly winds and
temperatures potentially reaching the mid 80s off the Caprock.
This will also increase fire weather concerns with humidities in
the teens. A second Colorado low will develop on Wednesday and
although it will be farther south than the first one, it does not
look to be as deep at ~995 mb compared to the previous ~990 mb.
However, breezy westerly winds will again bring similar conditions
as Tuesday. Temperatures will diminish by the end of the week as
winds likewise diminish. No precipitation is expected at this
time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 453 AM CST Sat Feb 14 2026

There is a low chance for MVFR CIGs at CDS through 13Z. VFR
conditions are otherwise expected to prevail at all terminals.
Light rain showers are possible at the terminals from 18-00Z, but
no significant impacts are expected.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...51