Lubbock, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

412
FXUS64 KLUB 192330
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
630 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 630 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

 - Hot, dry, and breezy conditions are expected through the first
   half of the upcoming weekend.

 - Daily afternoon and evening thunderstorm chances return Sunday
   and continue through the middle of next week, mainly to the
   west of I-27.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Hot and dry conditions will continue through tomorrow. Broad upper
level ridging currently sitting overhead will track east overnight
through tomorrow as an upper low pushes in over the Pacific
Northwest. Southerly surface winds have began to increase and should
remain breezy until after sunset. Winds should pick up again late
tomorrow morning and remain breezy through the evening. Increased
heights from the ridge and southerly surface winds will keep
temperatures in the 90s region wide tomorrow. Current WV imagery
shows some mid to upper level moisture overhead, however due to
subsidence from the ridge and little to no low level lift,
precipitation chances are near zero for the rest of today and
tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

The upper air pattern will remain relatively stagnant throughout the
extended forecast period with a broad upper ridge centered over the
eastern CONUS and upper troughing present over the Pacific coast.
This will allow a persistent yet relatively narrow fetch of Pacific
moisture to establish within southwest flow aloft by the end of
the weekend and remain in place through the coming week over NM
and into the central plains states. Prior to the establishment of
this monsoonal fetch, dry conditions will persist Saturday
through most of Sunday with above normal temperatures and strong
southerly surface flow continuing. Late Sunday and beyond, the
synoptic setup favors daily chances for afternoon and evening
thunderstorms focused near and west of the TX/NM state line, along
with slightly cooler temperatures over most of the Caprock. In
general, medium range models continue to show some variance in how
far west the upper ridge axis will extend over TX throughout the
week, which will in turn affect the degree to which the ribbon of
mid/upper level moisture and associated storm chances can pivot
over our area. NBM PoPs look reasonable at this time, with low
mentionable PoPs focused west of I-27 each afternoon and evening
from Sunday through the middle of next week. Severe weather
currently looks unlikely during this time, although a few
instances of locally heavy rain may materialize especially near
the state line.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

VFR next 24 hours. The southeasterly breeze will taper off
tonight, with winds veering towards the south-southwest by dawn
Friday. Winds will then accelerate to near 20 kt by tomorrow
afternoon KCDS, KLBB, and KPVW; and will remain elevated into
late tomorrow night. Check density altitude.

Sincavage

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...09